Most Recent Findings
Warren Closes The Electability Gap
In a follow up to our earlier research on electability, we show how Warren has risen as both the candidate most voters would support if the primary were today and the candidate democrats would most prefer to be president when electability is taken off the table.
This rise has taken place In the face of persistent beliefs that other voters may not vote for a woman. These findings demonstrate how perceived electability has shifted across all candidates in recent months, and how Warren in particular is convincing voters that she is as or more electable than any other candidate.
Most Americans Support Reproductive Freedom and Oppose Government Bans
Avalanche recently conducted a deep listening survey to understand how voters relate to the concept of abortion generally and to the regulation of abortion specifically. This research clearly demonstrates that the strong majority of Americans support reproductive freedom.
While media coverage of this topic often highlights the intense polarization associated with people’s personal comfort with abortion, this research shows that despite a wide array of feelings about the issue, a strong majority of Americans ultimately oppose government bans and support reproductive freedom.
Electability Reflects What Americans Believe is Possible
The impact of perceived electability can be seen in the gap between the primary candidate voters choose in a typical horse race question compared to the candidate that they most wish could be the next president.
The electability gap is driven in large part by beliefs about how gender is perceived in America today. Those who see gender as a barrier to electability consistently express beliefs that other voters will not vote for a woman. These findings suggest that many voters may not need to be convinced that female a candidate is more capable — they must be convinced that Americans are capable of electing them.